Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 20 June 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
10 to 17 Jun 2020
Respondents
2,403
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU38.0%-1.0
  • Grüne17.0%±0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%+1.0
  • Linke8.0%+1.0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Others5.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 Jun 2020.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 2,403 people were surveyed from 10 to 17 Jun 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 Jun 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has FDP 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jun 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +1.6average 5.4
  • Grüne -1.1average 18.1
  • AfD +0.5average 9.5
  • CDU/CSU -0.4average 38.4
  • Linke +0.1average 7.9
  • SPD ±0average 15.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 252 seatsGrüne: 113 seatsSPD: 100 seatsAfD: 66 seatsLinke: 53 seatsFDP: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU252
  • Grüne113
  • SPD100
  • AfD66
  • Linke53
  • FDP46
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD318 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP351 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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