Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 June 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
4 to 9 Jun 2020
Respondents
1,934
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU39.0%+1.0
  • Grüne17.0%+1.0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%+1.0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 6 Jun 2020.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 1,934 people were surveyed from 4 to 9 Jun 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 6 Jun 2020, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has FDP 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jun 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +1.5average 5.5
  • Grüne -1.1average 18.1
  • Linke -0.9average 7.9
  • CDU/CSU +0.7average 38.3
  • AfD -0.3average 9.3
  • SPD +0.2average 14.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 261 seatsGrüne: 114 seatsSPD: 101 seatsAfD: 60 seatsFDP: 47 seatsLinke: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU261
  • Grüne114
  • SPD101
  • AfD60
  • FDP47
  • Linke47
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne375 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD321 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke355 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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