Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 May 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
14 to 19 May 2020
Respondents
1,914
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU38.0%-1.0
  • SPD16.0%±0
  • Grüne15.0%+1.0
  • AfD10.0%-1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%+1.0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 May 2020.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 1,914 people were surveyed from 14 to 19 May 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 May 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 1.9 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 May 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -1.9average 16.9
  • FDP +1.3average 5.7
  • SPD +0.7average 15.3
  • Linke +0.3average 7.7
  • CDU/CSU -0.1average 38.1
  • AfD ±0average 10.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 255 seatsSPD: 107 seatsGrüne: 100 seatsAfD: 67 seatsLinke: 54 seatsFDP: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU255
  • SPD107
  • Grüne100
  • AfD67
  • Linke54
  • FDP47
  • CDU/CSU + SPD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP356 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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