Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 May 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 26 May 2020
- Respondents
- 1,934
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU40.0%+2.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- AfD9.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 May 2020.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 1,934 people were surveyed from 20 to 26 May 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 May 2020, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has FDP 2.5 points higher and Grüne 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 May 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +2.5average 5.5
- Grüne -2.0average 17.0
- CDU/CSU +1.8average 38.2
- AfD -0.8average 9.8
- Linke -0.8average 7.8
- SPD +0.7average 15.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU265
- SPD106
- Grüne100
- AfD60
- FDP53
- Linke46
- CDU/CSU + SPD371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.