Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 May 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 13 May 2020
- Respondents
- 1,559
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU39.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 May 2020.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 1,559 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 May 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 May 2020, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 May 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.7average 16.7
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 38.1
- AfD +0.9average 10.1
- SPD +0.6average 15.4
- Linke +0.3average 7.7
- FDP +0.1average 5.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU261
- SPD107
- Grüne94
- AfD74
- Linke54
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + SPD368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP355 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.