Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 May 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Apr 2020 to 6 May 2020
- Respondents
- 1,426
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU38.0%+1.0
- SPD17.0%+2.0
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- AfD12.0%±0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 May 2020.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,426 people were surveyed from 30 Apr 2020 to 6 May 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 May 2020, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.7 points lower and AfD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 May 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.7average 16.7
- AfD +2.0average 10.0
- SPD +1.3average 15.7
- FDP -0.7average 5.7
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 38.4
- Linke +0.4average 7.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU255
- SPD114
- Grüne94
- AfD80
- Linke54
- FDP33
- CDU/CSU + SPD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP342 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.