Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 May 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
22 to 29 Apr 2020
Respondents
1,443
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU37.0%-1.0
  • SPD15.0%-1.0
  • Grüne15.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%+1.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 Apr 2020.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 15.0%. 1,443 people were surveyed from 22 to 29 Apr 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 Apr 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has AfD 2.1 points higher and Grüne 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 May 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +2.1average 9.9
  • Grüne -1.5average 16.5
  • Linke +1.4average 7.6
  • SPD -1.2average 16.2
  • CDU/CSU -1.1average 38.1
  • FDP +0.2average 5.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 248 seatsSPD: 101 seatsGrüne: 101 seatsAfD: 80 seatsLinke: 60 seatsFDP: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU248
  • SPD101
  • Grüne101
  • AfD80
  • Linke60
  • FDP40
  • CDU/CSU + SPD349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP348 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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