Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 April 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
2 to 8 Apr 2020
Respondents
1,912
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU37.0%+4.0
  • SPD17.0%-1.0
  • Grüne16.0%-2.0
  • AfD10.0%-1.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 Apr 2020.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,912 people were surveyed from 2 to 8 Apr 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 Apr 2020, CDU/CSU gains 4.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 3.9 points lower and CDU/CSU 3.1 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -3.9average 19.9
  • CDU/CSU +3.1average 33.9
  • Linke +1.2average 7.8
  • SPD +0.7average 16.3
  • AfD -0.6average 10.6
  • FDP +0.4average 5.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 245 seatsSPD: 113 seatsGrüne: 106 seatsAfD: 66 seatsLinke: 60 seatsFDP: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU245
  • SPD113
  • Grüne106
  • AfD66
  • Linke60
  • FDP40
  • CDU/CSU + SPD358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP345 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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