Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 April 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 25 Mar 2020 to 1 Apr 2020
- Respondents
- 1,426
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU33.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 Mar 2020.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,426 people were surveyed from 25 Mar 2020 to 1 Apr 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 Mar 2020, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.2 points lower and SPD 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.2average 20.2
- SPD +2.1average 15.9
- Linke +1.0average 8.0
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 33.2
- AfD +0.2average 10.8
- FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU219
- SPD119
- Grüne119
- AfD73
- Linke60
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + SPD338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.