Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 March 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
18 to 25 Mar 2020
Respondents
1,441
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU32.0%+4.0
  • Grüne19.0%-2.0
  • SPD18.0%+2.0
  • AfD11.0%-2.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 Mar 2020.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,441 people were surveyed from 18 to 25 Mar 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 Mar 2020, CDU/CSU gains 4.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 2.7 points higher and Grüne 2.2 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Mar 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +2.7average 15.3
  • Grüne -2.2average 21.2
  • CDU/CSU +0.7average 31.3
  • Linke +0.6average 8.4
  • FDP -0.3average 6.3
  • AfD ±0average 11.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 212 seatsGrüne: 126 seatsSPD: 119 seatsAfD: 73 seatsLinke: 60 seatsFDP: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU212
  • Grüne126
  • SPD119
  • AfD73
  • Linke60
  • FDP40
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD331 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.