Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 March 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 18 Mar 2020
- Respondents
- 1,603
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%+2.0
- Grüne21.0%±0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 Mar 2020.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,603 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 Mar 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 Mar 2020, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Mar 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.2average 22.2
- SPD +1.0average 15.0
- AfD +1.0average 12.0
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 28.8
- FDP +0.4average 6.6
- Linke -0.1average 9.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- Grüne141
- SPD107
- AfD87
- Linke60
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.