Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 March 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 11 Mar 2020
- Respondents
- 1,414
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%+2.0
- Grüne21.0%-1.0
- SPD17.0%±0
- AfD14.0%±0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 Mar 2020.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,414 people were surveyed from 4 to 11 Mar 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 Mar 2020, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Mar 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.7average 15.3
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 27.4
- Linke -1.3average 9.3
- Grüne -1.2average 22.2
- AfD +1.1average 12.9
- FDP +0.6average 6.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU176
- Grüne142
- SPD115
- AfD95
- Linke54
- FDP48
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD386 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.