Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 March 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Feb 2020 to 4 Mar 2020
- Respondents
- 1,423
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU24.0%-1.0
- Grüne22.0%±0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 Mar 2020.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 24.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,423 people were surveyed from 27 Feb 2020 to 4 Mar 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 Mar 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 3.0 points lower and SPD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Mar 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.0average 27.0
- SPD +1.5average 15.5
- AfD +1.2average 12.8
- FDP +0.7average 6.3
- Grüne -0.6average 22.6
- Linke -0.4average 9.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU163
- Grüne149
- SPD115
- AfD95
- Linke61
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD427 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD407 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP325 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.