Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 March 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 27 Feb 2020
- Respondents
- 1,509
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU25.0%-2.0
- Grüne22.0%+2.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 Feb 2020.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,509 people were surveyed from 20 to 27 Feb 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 Feb 2020, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Mar 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.1average 27.1
- AfD +1.3average 12.7
- SPD +0.8average 15.2
- FDP -0.6average 6.6
- Grüne -0.4average 22.4
- Linke +0.3average 9.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU169
- Grüne149
- SPD108
- AfD95
- Linke68
- FDP41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD372 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.