Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 February 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
13 to 19 Feb 2020
Respondents
1,417
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
  • Grüne20.0%±0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • AfD14.0%-1.0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%+1.0
  • Others7.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 Feb 2020.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,417 people were surveyed from 13 to 19 Feb 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 Feb 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Feb 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -2.0average 22.0
  • SPD +0.5average 14.5
  • AfD +0.5average 13.5
  • Linke +0.5average 9.5
  • CDU/CSU -0.2average 27.2
  • FDP -0.1average 7.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 183 seatsGrüne: 135 seatsSPD: 102 seatsAfD: 95 seatsLinke: 68 seatsFDP: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU183
  • Grüne135
  • SPD102
  • AfD95
  • Linke68
  • FDP47
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD380 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP332 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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