Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 February 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 12 Feb 2020
- Respondents
- 1,886
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD15.0%±0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%-2.0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Feb 2020.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,886 people were surveyed from 6 to 12 Feb 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Feb 2020, FDP loses 2.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.4 points lower and AfD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Feb 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.4average 22.4
- AfD +1.7average 13.3
- FDP -1.3average 7.3
- SPD +1.1average 13.9
- Linke +0.8average 9.2
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 27.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- Grüne134
- SPD101
- AfD100
- Linke67
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke355 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.