Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 February 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Jan 2020 to 5 Feb 2020
- Respondents
- 1,889
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- Grüne20.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 Feb 2020.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,889 people were surveyed from 30 Jan 2020 to 5 Feb 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 Feb 2020, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.3 points lower and AfD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Feb 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.3average 22.3
- AfD +1.8average 13.2
- SPD +1.3average 13.7
- Linke +0.3average 8.7
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 27.8
- FDP ±0average 8.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- Grüne133
- SPD99
- AfD99
- Linke60
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD331 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.