Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 February 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 29 Jan 2020
- Respondents
- 1,442
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- Grüne21.0%±0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 Jan 2020.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,442 people were surveyed from 23 to 29 Jan 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 Jan 2020, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Feb 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.6average 13.4
- Grüne -1.3average 22.3
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 27.4
- Linke +0.4average 8.6
- AfD +0.3average 13.7
- FDP -0.1average 8.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne141
- SPD100
- AfD94
- Linke60
- FDP54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.