Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 January 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 22 Jan 2020
- Respondents
- 2,100
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- Grüne21.0%±0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 Jan 2020.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 2,100 people were surveyed from 16 to 22 Jan 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 Jan 2020, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jan 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 27.4
- Linke +1.1average 8.9
- FDP +1.1average 7.9
- Grüne -1.0average 22.0
- AfD +0.9average 14.1
- SPD +0.6average 13.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU172
- Grüne139
- AfD100
- SPD93
- Linke66
- FDP60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD411 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD404 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.