Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 January 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 15 Jan 2020
- Respondents
- 2,009
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- Grüne21.0%±0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 Jan 2020.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 2,009 people were surveyed from 9 to 15 Jan 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 Jan 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 1.6 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jan 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.6average 13.4
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 27.5
- FDP +0.9average 8.1
- Grüne -0.7average 21.7
- AfD -0.3average 14.3
- Linke +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU174
- Grüne141
- SPD101
- AfD94
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD416 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD409 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD369 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.