Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 January 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 19 Dec 2019 to 8 Jan 2020
- Respondents
- 1,829
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne21.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 Dec 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,829 people were surveyed from 19 Dec 2019 to 8 Jan 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 Dec 2019, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Jan 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +0.9average 13.1
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 27.8
- Grüne -0.8average 21.8
- FDP +0.7average 8.3
- Linke +0.4average 8.6
- AfD -0.1average 14.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne141
- SPD94
- AfD94
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.