Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 December 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 18 Dec 2019
- Respondents
- 1,899
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 Dec 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,899 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 Dec 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 Dec 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Dec 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.3average 21.3
- SPD +1.3average 13.7
- FDP +1.0average 8.0
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 27.4
- AfD -0.4average 14.4
- Linke +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne134
- SPD101
- AfD94
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD416 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD409 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.