Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 December 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
5 to 11 Dec 2019
Respondents
1,978
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU28.0%±0
  • Grüne20.0%±0
  • SPD16.0%±0
  • AfD13.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%+1.0
  • Others5.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 Dec 2019.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,978 people were surveyed from 5 to 11 Dec 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 Dec 2019, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 2.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Dec 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +2.5average 13.5
  • Grüne -1.4average 21.4
  • AfD -1.3average 14.3
  • FDP +0.9average 8.1
  • CDU/CSU +0.5average 27.5
  • Linke +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 186 seatsGrüne: 132 seatsSPD: 106 seatsAfD: 86 seatsFDP: 60 seatsLinke: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU186
  • Grüne132
  • SPD106
  • AfD86
  • FDP60
  • Linke60
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD378 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD324 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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