Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 December 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Nov 2019 to 4 Dec 2019
- Respondents
- 1,876
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 Nov 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,876 people were surveyed from 27 Nov 2019 to 4 Dec 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 Nov 2019, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 2.8 points higher and Grüne 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Dec 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.8average 13.2
- Grüne -1.8average 21.8
- AfD -1.5average 14.5
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 27.1
- FDP +0.8average 8.2
- Linke -0.8average 8.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- Grüne134
- SPD107
- AfD87
- FDP60
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke329 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.