Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 November 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 27 Nov 2019
- Respondents
- 1,910
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 Nov 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,910 people were surveyed from 20 to 27 Nov 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 Nov 2019, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Nov 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.9average 21.9
- CDU/CSU +1.0average 27.0
- SPD +1.0average 14.0
- FDP +0.3average 7.7
- Linke -0.2average 9.2
- AfD +0.1average 13.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- Grüne134
- SPD100
- AfD94
- Linke60
- FDP54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP336 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.