Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 November 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
13 to 20 Nov 2019
Respondents
1,905
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
  • Grüne20.0%+2.0
  • SPD15.0%-2.0
  • AfD13.0%-1.0
  • FDP9.0%+1.0
  • Linke9.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 Nov 2019.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,905 people were surveyed from 13 to 20 Nov 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 Nov 2019, Grüne gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Nov 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -1.4average 21.4
  • CDU/CSU +1.3average 26.7
  • FDP +1.2average 7.8
  • AfD -0.9average 13.9
  • SPD +0.7average 14.3
  • Linke -0.4average 9.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 188 seatsGrüne: 134 seatsSPD: 101 seatsAfD: 87 seatsFDP: 60 seatsLinke: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU188
  • Grüne134
  • SPD101
  • AfD87
  • FDP60
  • Linke60
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD376 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.