Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 November 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 13 Nov 2019
- Respondents
- 1,525
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP8.0%-2.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Nov 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,525 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 Nov 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Nov 2019, FDP loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 3.4 points lower and SPD 2.4 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Nov 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -3.4average 21.4
- SPD +2.4average 14.6
- Linke +1.0average 9.0
- FDP +0.3average 7.7
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 26.8
- AfD +0.1average 13.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne120
- SPD114
- AfD94
- Linke67
- FDP54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD415 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD395 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.