Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 November 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Oct 2019 to 6 Nov 2019
- Respondents
- 1,431
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Nov 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,431 people were surveyed from 30 Oct 2019 to 6 Nov 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Nov 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 4.0 points lower and FDP 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Nov 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -4.0average 22.0
- FDP +2.2average 7.8
- SPD +2.1average 13.9
- Linke +1.1average 8.9
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 27.0
- AfD ±0average 14.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU174
- Grüne121
- SPD107
- AfD94
- FDP67
- Linke67
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD402 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.