Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 November 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 30 Oct 2019
- Respondents
- 1,920
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%-2.0
- Grüne18.0%-2.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 Oct 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,920 people were surveyed from 24 to 30 Oct 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 Oct 2019, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 4.4 points lower and SPD 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Nov 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -4.4average 22.4
- SPD +2.1average 13.9
- FDP +1.6average 7.4
- AfD +1.0average 14.0
- Linke +0.9average 8.1
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 27.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne121
- SPD107
- AfD101
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD409 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD403 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.