Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 October 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 23 Oct 2019
- Respondents
- 1,441
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 Oct 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,441 people were surveyed from 17 to 23 Oct 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 Oct 2019, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Oct 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.3average 22.3
- CDU/CSU +1.1average 27.9
- Linke +1.1average 7.9
- SPD +1.0average 14.0
- FDP +0.6average 7.4
- AfD +0.1average 13.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne133
- SPD99
- AfD93
- Linke60
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.