Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 October 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 16 Oct 2019
- Respondents
- 1,444
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%+1.0
- Grüne20.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%-2.0
- Linke9.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 Oct 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,444 people were surveyed from 10 to 16 Oct 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 Oct 2019, AfD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Oct 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.5average 22.5
- CDU/CSU +1.2average 27.8
- Linke +1.2average 7.8
- SPD +0.9average 14.1
- AfD -0.9average 13.9
- FDP -0.4average 7.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU196
- Grüne136
- SPD102
- AfD88
- Linke61
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP331 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.