Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 October 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 9 Oct 2019
- Respondents
- 1,916
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- Grüne21.0%±0
- AfD15.0%±0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 Oct 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,916 people were surveyed from 2 to 9 Oct 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 Oct 2019, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Oct 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.0average 23.0
- AfD +0.9average 14.1
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 27.4
- FDP -0.6average 7.6
- SPD +0.4average 13.6
- Linke +0.1average 7.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- Grüne142
- AfD102
- SPD95
- Linke54
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke339 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.