Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 October 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 26 Sep 2019 to 1 Oct 2019
- Respondents
- 1,449
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne21.0%±0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 Sep 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,449 people were surveyed from 26 Sep 2019 to 1 Oct 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 Sep 2019, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Oct 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.0average 23.0
- AfD +1.1average 13.9
- SPD +1.0average 14.0
- FDP +0.4average 7.6
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 27.3
- Linke +0.2average 7.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne141
- SPD100
- AfD100
- FDP54
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD381 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.