Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 September 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
19 to 25 Sep 2019
Respondents
1,719
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU27.0%-2.0
  • Grüne21.0%±0
  • SPD16.0%+1.0
  • AfD15.0%+1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 Sep 2019.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,719 people were surveyed from 19 to 25 Sep 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 Sep 2019, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.1 points lower and SPD 1.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Sep 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -2.1average 23.1
  • SPD +1.7average 14.3
  • AfD +1.1average 13.9
  • Linke +0.3average 7.7
  • FDP -0.3average 7.3
  • CDU/CSU -0.1average 27.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 181 seatsGrüne: 141 seatsSPD: 107 seatsAfD: 100 seatsLinke: 54 seatsFDP: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU181
  • Grüne141
  • SPD107
  • AfD100
  • Linke54
  • FDP47
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD388 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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