Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 September 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
12 to 18 Sep 2019
Respondents
1,639
Method
Telefonisch

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 Sep 2019.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,639 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 Sep 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 Sep 2019, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.6 points higher and Grüne 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Sep 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.6average 27.4
  • Grüne -1.6average 22.6
  • FDP +0.9average 7.1
  • Linke +0.4average 7.6
  • AfD +0.3average 13.7
  • SPD +0.2average 14.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 192 seatsGrüne: 139 seatsSPD: 100 seatsAfD: 93 seatsFDP: 53 seatsLinke: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU192
  • Grüne139
  • SPD100
  • AfD93
  • FDP53
  • Linke53
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne331 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD385 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke338 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD332 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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