Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 September 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 18 Sep 2019
- Respondents
- 1,639
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%+1.0
- Grüne21.0%±0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 Sep 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,639 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 Sep 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 Sep 2019, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.6 points higher and Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Sep 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.6average 27.4
- Grüne -1.6average 22.6
- FDP +0.9average 7.1
- Linke +0.4average 7.6
- AfD +0.3average 13.7
- SPD +0.2average 14.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne139
- SPD100
- AfD93
- FDP53
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke338 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.