Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 September 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 11 Sep 2019
- Respondents
- 2,835
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%-1.0
- Grüne21.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 Sep 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 2,835 people were surveyed from 5 to 11 Sep 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 Sep 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Sep 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.9average 22.9
- SPD +1.4average 14.6
- AfD +1.3average 13.7
- FDP +1.0average 7.0
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 27.5
- Linke -0.5average 7.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- Grüne139
- SPD106
- AfD100
- FDP53
- Linke46
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD392 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP345 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.