Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 September 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
29 Aug 2019 to 4 Sep 2019
Respondents
1,884
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU29.0%±0
  • Grüne21.0%-1.0
  • SPD16.0%+1.0
  • AfD14.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%+1.0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Others5.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 31 Aug 2019.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,884 people were surveyed from 29 Aug 2019 to 4 Sep 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 31 Aug 2019, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.6 points lower and SPD 1.8 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Sep 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -2.6average 23.6
  • SPD +1.8average 14.2
  • CDU/CSU +1.7average 27.3
  • Linke +0.8average 7.2
  • FDP -0.4average 7.4
  • AfD +0.2average 13.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 193 seatsGrüne: 139 seatsSPD: 106 seatsAfD: 93 seatsLinke: 53 seatsFDP: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU193
  • Grüne139
  • SPD106
  • AfD93
  • Linke53
  • FDP46
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD392 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke339 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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