Verian (Emnid) poll of 31 August 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 28 Aug 2019
- Respondents
- 1,434
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%+2.0
- Grüne22.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 Aug 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,434 people were surveyed from 22 to 28 Aug 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 Aug 2019, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.3 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.3average 24.3
- CDU/CSU +1.8average 27.2
- SPD +1.5average 13.5
- AfD +0.8average 13.2
- FDP -0.7average 7.7
- Linke -0.6average 7.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- Grüne147
- SPD101
- AfD94
- FDP47
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.