Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 August 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 21 Aug 2019
- Respondents
- 1,555
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne23.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 17 Aug 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,555 people were surveyed from 15 to 21 Aug 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 17 Aug 2019, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.6average 13.4
- Grüne -1.4average 24.4
- AfD +0.7average 13.3
- Linke +0.2average 7.8
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 27.1
- FDP ±0average 8.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU179
- Grüne153
- SPD99
- AfD93
- FDP53
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD371 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.