Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 April 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 15 Apr 2020
- Respondents
- 1,534
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU37.0%±0
- SPD18.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- AfD9.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 Apr 2020.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,534 people were surveyed from 9 to 15 Apr 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 Apr 2020, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.0 points lower and SPD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.0average 18.0
- SPD +1.5average 16.5
- AfD -1.4average 10.4
- CDU/CSU +1.1average 35.9
- FDP +1.1average 5.9
- Linke +0.3average 7.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU246
- SPD119
- Grüne106
- AfD60
- Linke53
- FDP46
- CDU/CSU + SPD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP345 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.