Single poll
Verian (Emnid) poll of 3 August 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 31 Jul 2019
- Respondents
- 1,419
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,419 people were surveyed from 25 to 31 Jul 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 Jul 2019, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.4average 24.4
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 27.3
- AfD +1.0average 13.0
- FDP +0.8average 8.2
- SPD -0.1average 13.1
- Linke ±0average 8.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU176
- Grüne156
- AfD95
- SPD88
- FDP61
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD359 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke318 of 630
More
More polls
← Verian (Emnid), 27 Jul 2019Verian (Emnid), 10 Aug 2019 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2019
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.