Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 July 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 24 Jul 2019
- Respondents
- 1,520
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- Grüne23.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 20 Jul 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,520 people were surveyed from 18 to 24 Jul 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 20 Jul 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jul 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 27.5
- Grüne -1.4average 24.4
- FDP +0.9average 8.1
- SPD +0.8average 13.2
- AfD +0.3average 12.7
- Linke ±0average 8.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU176
- Grüne156
- SPD95
- AfD88
- FDP61
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD359 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.