Verian (Emnid) poll of 20 July 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 17 Jul 2019
- Respondents
- 1,908
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- Grüne22.0%-2.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 Jul 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,908 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 Jul 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 Jul 2019, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jul 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.8average 24.8
- SPD +0.9average 13.1
- FDP +0.9average 8.1
- Linke +0.8average 8.2
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 26.7
- AfD +0.2average 12.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne148
- SPD94
- AfD87
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.