Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 July 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 10 Jul 2019
- Respondents
- 2,377
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- Grüne24.0%±0
- SPD15.0%+2.0
- AfD13.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 6 Jul 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 2,377 people were surveyed from 4 to 10 Jul 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 6 Jul 2019, SPD gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jul 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.8average 13.2
- Grüne -1.2average 25.2
- Linke +1.0average 8.0
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 26.6
- FDP +0.3average 7.7
- AfD ±0average 13.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU172
- Grüne159
- SPD100
- AfD86
- Linke60
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD358 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP325 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.