Verian (Emnid) poll of 6 July 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Jun 2019 to 3 Jul 2019
- Respondents
- 2,389
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- Grüne24.0%-1.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- SPD13.0%±0
- Linke9.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 29 Jun 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 2,389 people were surveyed from 27 Jun 2019 to 3 Jul 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 29 Jun 2019, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jul 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.4average 12.6
- Grüne -1.2average 25.2
- Linke +1.2average 7.8
- FDP -0.9average 7.9
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 26.8
- SPD ±0average 13.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU176
- Grüne163
- AfD95
- SPD88
- Linke61
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD359 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke325 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + Linke319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.