Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 29 June 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
21 to 26 Jun 2019
Respondents
1,906
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
  • Grüne25.0%±0
  • AfD14.0%±0
  • SPD13.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 Jun 2019.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 25.0%. 1,906 people were surveyed from 21 to 26 Jun 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 Jun 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has AfD 1.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.7average 12.3
  • CDU/CSU -1.1average 27.1
  • Grüne +0.6average 24.4
  • SPD -0.6average 13.6
  • FDP -0.2average 8.2
  • Linke ±0average 8.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 174 seatsGrüne: 167 seatsAfD: 94 seatsSPD: 87 seatsFDP: 54 seatsLinke: 54 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU174
  • Grüne167
  • AfD94
  • SPD87
  • FDP54
  • Linke54
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD355 of 630
  • Grüne + AfD + SPD348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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