Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 June 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
13 to 18 Jun 2019
Respondents
1,910
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU27.0%+2.0
  • Grüne25.0%-2.0
  • AfD14.0%+1.0
  • SPD12.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 Jun 2019.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 25.0%. 1,910 people were surveyed from 13 to 18 Jun 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 Jun 2019, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 2.7 points lower and Grüne 2.3 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -2.7average 14.7
  • Grüne +2.3average 22.7
  • AfD +1.3average 12.7
  • FDP -1.3average 8.3
  • CDU/CSU -0.2average 27.2
  • Linke -0.1average 8.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 183 seatsGrüne: 170 seatsAfD: 95 seatsSPD: 81 seatsLinke: 54 seatsFDP: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU183
  • Grüne170
  • AfD95
  • SPD81
  • Linke54
  • FDP47
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD359 of 630
  • Grüne + AfD + SPD346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
  • Grüne + AfD + Linke319 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.