Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 June 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 12 Jun 2019
- Respondents
- 2,377
- Method
- Telefonisch
- Grüne27.0%±0
- CDU/CSU25.0%-2.0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- SPD12.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 Jun 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has Grüne ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 2,377 people were surveyed from 6 to 12 Jun 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 Jun 2019, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 4.1 points higher and SPD 2.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +4.1average 22.9
- SPD -2.4average 14.4
- CDU/CSU -2.0average 27.0
- FDP -0.4average 8.4
- AfD +0.3average 12.7
- Linke ±0average 8.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- Grüne183
- CDU/CSU170
- AfD88
- SPD81
- FDP54
- Linke54
- Grüne + CDU/CSU353 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD339 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + Linke325 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP318 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.