Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 June 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
29 May 2019 to 5 Jun 2019
Respondents
1,903
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
  • Grüne27.0%+7.0
  • SPD12.0%-4.0
  • AfD12.0%-1.0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 Jun 2019.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 27.0%. 1,903 people were surveyed from 29 May 2019 to 5 Jun 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 Jun 2019, Grüne gains 7.0 points, SPD loses 4.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 5.0 points higher and SPD 3.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +5.0average 22.0
  • SPD -3.0average 15.0
  • Linke -1.2average 8.2
  • AfD -0.8average 12.8
  • CDU/CSU -0.4average 27.4
  • FDP -0.2average 8.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 183 seatsGrüne: 183 seatsSPD: 81 seatsAfD: 81 seatsFDP: 54 seatsLinke: 48 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU183
  • Grüne183
  • SPD81
  • AfD81
  • FDP54
  • Linke48
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD345 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP318 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP318 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP318 of 630
  • Grüne + AfD + FDP318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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