Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 June 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
23 to 28 May 2019
Respondents
1,413
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU28.0%-1.0
  • Grüne20.0%+3.0
  • SPD16.0%-1.0
  • AfD13.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Linke8.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 May 2019.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,413 people were surveyed from 23 to 28 May 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 May 2019, Grüne gains 3.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -0.6average 28.6
  • Linke -0.5average 8.5
  • FDP -0.4average 8.4
  • SPD -0.3average 16.3
  • AfD +0.3average 12.7
  • Grüne +0.2average 19.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 190 seatsGrüne: 136 seatsSPD: 108 seatsAfD: 88 seatsFDP: 54 seatsLinke: 54 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU190
  • Grüne136
  • SPD108
  • AfD88
  • FDP54
  • Linke54
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne326 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD386 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD332 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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